Iowa Democratic Odds

1. While there might have been no clear winner in this week’s Iowa caucus, the Hawkeye State shook up the Democratic presidential race. A top analyst of booking trends and betting lines told Florida Daily that the odds have changed in the wake of the Iowa caucuses disaster and expects more big changes between now and November.
2. Jan 30, 2020 Iowa's Democratic caucuses on Monday will happen at 1,678 precinct locations, including people's homes, public libraries and school gymnasiums. The odds of that are not very good, but the.

2024 Presidential Election Odds to Win the 2024 Presidential Election All wagers have action. Others on request. Market settled once the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. Any result uncertainty will delay settlement until Congress announce Electoral College votes.

The Iowa Electronic Markets is a futures market run for research and teaching purposes. Traders can buy and sell real-money contracts based on their belief about the outcome of an election or other event. Using this 'wisdom of crowds,' the price of a contract at any given time is a forecast of the outcome.

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2022 U.S. Congressional Election Markets will begin trading Friday, February 26, 2019, at 11:00am CST.

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Pete Buttigieg is finally starting to make some legitimate noise for the Democratic nomination. Since we began looking at 2020 Presidential election odds, the expectation has always been that Joe Biden would flame out, and somebody from the Buttigieg, Beto O’Rouke, Kamala Harris group would surge.

Biden is slipping, with Elizabeth Warren taking his place as the presumptive nominee. Beto is out. Harris had her moment but couldn’t keep momentum. Now Mayor Pete has found his second wind. Polling suggests he could be positioned for bigger things.

Pete Buttigieg’s Iowa Surge

Iowa Democratic Odds Presidential

Across almost all meaningful polls, Buttigieg is a close second behind Warren in Iowa. Why is this important? The Iowa caucus kicks off the Democratic primary season. Taking place on Feb. 3, it comes a full eight days before the New Hampshire primary. A strong performance in Iowa leads to positive press and polling bumps.

Iowa Democratic Odds By State

It also typically leads to an increase in campaign contributions. Those funds are driven into ad spots in upcoming primary states.

Iowa has shown a progressive side in candidate preference as well. While Buttigieg is still in the murky middle of fleshing out his platform, he’d be viewed as a progressive choice both personally and politically.

History of Iowa Caucus in selecting Democratic nominee

Iowa’s recent history bodes well for Democratic hopefuls. Every winner of the Iowa caucus since 1996 has gone on to win the nomination. Even those who didn’t saw uptick to their campaign.

For example, in 2016 Bernie Sanders‘ Iowa finish (at 49.6% of the vote) cemented his status as a legitimate threat to eventual nominee Hillary Clinton (at 49.8%).

Barack Obama stole front-runner status from Hillary Clinton with his Iowa win in 2008.

John Kerry (2004) and Al Gore (2000) also used Iowa as the springboard for their eventual nomination.

Pete Buttigieg election odds

Iowa Democratic Odds 2020

Mayor Pete’s 2020 election winner odds are not as long as they once were just weeks ago. Most major operators have him around +1100 to +1200. Weeks ago he was in the +1600 to +2000 range.

Sites like Smarkets have him as the fourth overall favorite, trailing Trump-Warren-Biden but even with Sanders.